An urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls


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An urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random, its colour is noted and is returned to the urn. Moreover, 2 additional balls of the colour drawn are put in the urn and then a ball is drawn at random. What is the probability that the second ball is red?

Answered by admin @



Answer:

= \frac{1}{2}

Step-by-step explanation:

Let E₁ and E₂ be the events that red ball is drawn in first draw and black ball is drawn in first draw respectively. Let A be the event that ball drawn in second draw is red. There are 5 red and 5 black balls in the urn.

           P(E₁) = \frac{5}{10} = \frac{1}{2}

         P(E₂) = \frac{5}{10} = \frac{1}{2}

When 2 additional balls of red colour are put in the urn there are 7 red and 5 black balls in the urn.

    ∴   P(A / E₁) = \frac{7}{12}

Now, When 2 additional balls of black colour are put in the urn there are 5 red and 7 black balls in the urn.

          ∴ P (A/E₂) = \frac{5}{12}

By theorem of total probability

       P (A) = P (E₁) P (A/E₁) + P(E₂)P(A/E₂)

       P(A) = \frac{1}{2} × \frac{7}{12} + \frac{1}{2} × \frac{5}{12}

= \frac{7}{24} + \frac{5}{24}

= \frac{12}{24}

= \frac{1}{2}


Good luck !!


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